Past-Polish
0x3c30247243526b521d8dabf40da72d4f9277d8ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$269.88
Total PnL
$-5.16
Realised
$1.10
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
21 shares @ 68.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.79
$0.20
- NO
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$14.51
$0.70
- NO
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
17 shares @ 62.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$12.75
$2.16
- NO
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
11 shares @ 69.3¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.40
$1.55
- NO
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
10 shares @ 56.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.87
$3.52
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
11 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.05
$0.63
- NO
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
10 shares @ 72.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$0.46
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8 shares @ 85.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.74
$0.63
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.73
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.24May 18, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.26May 18, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.89May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$9.57May 15, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$13.60May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$6.42May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.99May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11?$3.62May 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$6.44May 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$7.96May 15, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.38May 15, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$7.61May 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?$5.54May 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$6.07May 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$2.92May 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$2.93May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$7.81May 14, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".