Tight-Allegation
0x3c6f2cd6c444666d01e07d061ce688a78c34469f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$995.18
Total PnL
$-672.89
Realised
$122.48
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
747 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$747.00
$75.45
- YES
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1013 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$248.19
$-65.84
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
555 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-397.94
- OLE MISS REBELS
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
393 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-313.61
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 9PM ET
176 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-89.76
- NO
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$598.41Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$426.00Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$264.12Apr 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$102.92Apr 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$211.11Apr 24, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$588.60Apr 24, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$6.57Apr 21, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$3.75Apr 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$442.90Apr 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$285.00Apr 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$304.50Apr 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$307.50Apr 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$116.35Apr 12, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$992.68Apr 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$475.40Apr 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$116.35Apr 12, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$350.98Apr 12, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$390.91Apr 12, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$407.84Apr 12, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$29.64Apr 11, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $270.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".