Shadowy-Feather
0x3d189c88157a11cb3fd597a44b262a8e37021160
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$177.2K
Total PnL
$-163.1K
Realised
$-34.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
75000 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.6K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
41978 shares @ 87.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.9K
$4.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
20000 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.7K
$810.02
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.7K
$-550.00
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
5500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$255.75
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
16332 shares @ 35.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.2K
$-602.96
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
5500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.7K
$-27.50
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
134766 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
4000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$300.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.1K
$-20.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.67May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.71May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.70May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$54.67May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.62May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.37May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.16May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$145.77May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.37May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$421.86May 17, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.21May 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.58May 17, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".