Pessimistic-Organ
0x3d85c79bc5bf1dfab707ac020becde0d37e46437
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$73.51
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 20?
17 shares @ 99.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$14.24
$-2.76
- NO
Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2 - 3 Wuhan San Zhen FC?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.95
$-0.05
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 20?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.87
$-0.04
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.51
$-0.24
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 20?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 90.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 20?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Solana reach $85 on May 20?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 23?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 24?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 25?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 23?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 25?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PlayTime win DreamLeague Season 29?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 18 above $6.00?$1.00May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of May 18 2026?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 3: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 24?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 25?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of May 18 2026?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $420?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 23?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 18 2026?$1.00May 20, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above 2,140 on May 20, 2AM ET?$1.01May 20, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 77,600 on May 20, 2AM ET?$1.02May 20, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".