Fickle-Fibrosis
0x3d8a89a20aa73fba0f30d080e8120de9f9555724
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-13.07
Realised
$2.54
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
140 shares @ 94.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$128.03
$-4.83
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$100.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.35
$0.15
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.35
$0.05
- NO
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.35
$0.15
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.25
$0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.74May 17, 12:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.75May 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.17May 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.05May 13, 18:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$9.64May 13, 18:53 UTC
- MERGEWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$19.33May 13, 18:53 UTC
- MERGEWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$53.87May 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.81May 13, 12:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$5.36May 12, 16:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$23.39May 11, 20:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $20.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".