Thunderous-Variable
0x3dc30b203388094ba0015460d6374e519deaf061
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$169.64
Total PnL
$-5.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?
172 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$169.64
$2.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
9 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?$167.05May 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?$166.72May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?$164.13May 20, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$164.48May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$163.06May 19, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$162.49May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$162.02May 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$161.16May 16, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?$1.01May 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$161.01May 15, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?$1.01May 14, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$60.12May 12, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.20May 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.01May 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$60.01May 12, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$160.16May 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.06May 10, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?$1.00May 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?$1.00May 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$160.01May 10, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $113.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".