Frugal-Polarisation
0x3e27b4fc18d61173110f6edb21e107bc34819890
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$30.2K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-523.42
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
10000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.4K
$250.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2000 shares @ 84.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$259.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$63.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$210.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
1864 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.8K
$118.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2700 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$-201.48
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$-90.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 62.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.1K
$119.84
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$982.00
$42.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$968.50
$88.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.27May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.34May 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.43May 17, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$8.97May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.72May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.81May 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.88May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.23May 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.87May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.02May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9.75May 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$94.77May 17, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$45.68May 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.32May 17, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.0KMay 17, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.6KMay 16, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $940.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".