Insignificant-Expectancy
0x3e2d7a0e958a1baf55ff768003052e4bd56dfb60
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$45.56
Win rate
40%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
953 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
911 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
546 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-87.34
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
380 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
300 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-173.00
- OVER
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
295 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-147.70
- AURORA
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
293 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-73.31
- YES
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
286 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
285 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-137.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$70.00May 22, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$100.00May 22, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$63.80May 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$5.87May 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$30.80May 22, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs$10.59May 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$50.00May 22, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner$18.00May 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$100.00May 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$110.00May 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$200.00May 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$2.97May 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$37.03May 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$47.78May 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner$10.75May 21, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$67.10May 21, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$88.98May 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A$9.08May 21, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A$0.92May 21, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$21.00May 21, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $32.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".