Incredible-Belfry
0x3e854b95685fa7a74104a1da92733586c27be185
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$41.09
Total PnL
$-75.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
163 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
39 shares @ 38.8¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.20
$-2.80
- YES
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
19 shares @ 53.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.63
$-1.37
- NO
Will Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
13 shares @ 32.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- NO
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03?
276 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
108 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16?$6.14May 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$5.08May 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.02May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.02May 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$4.08May 16, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.14May 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.41May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.30May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03?$1.03May 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-03?$10.28May 3, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.00Apr 7, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$15.22Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Apr 7, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Apr 7, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.96Apr 7, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".