Old-Fashioned-Igloo
0x3f1382964dc5e0307fb2e71f242bcd580dbaedcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$31.58
Realised
$2.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?
1091 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.1K
$8.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 95°F or below on May 19?
350 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$350.00
$1.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?
293 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$291.51
$3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on May 19?
222 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$222.02
$2.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?
105 shares @ 92.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$103.37
$6.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on May 19?
71 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$71.13
$0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 91.6¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.51
$2.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 19?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$49.98
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on May 19?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$49.83
$0.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
50 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.10
$0.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$60.00May 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$72.14May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$99.00May 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$14.85May 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on May 19?$49.60May 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$47.50May 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$48.50May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$96.35May 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$2.84May 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$5.62May 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$31.08May 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$7.94May 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?$4.96May 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$45.74May 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 20?$3.30May 20, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 20?$773.22May 20, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 20?$98.28May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$3.78May 20, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$30.68May 20, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 20?$15.04May 20, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".