Average-Jellybeans
0x3f2d1a7e0758d8c57fe4d9678c023b4120402adc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$11.2K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
94%
143 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27341 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$451.12
$-80.74
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2339 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$389.37
$-11.87
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
562 shares @ 65.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$365.36
$-1.78
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4605 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$343.06
$26.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
455 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$306.87
$-34.09
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1204 shares @ 22.9¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$299.29
$22.78
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1228 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$228.97
$-5.51
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2918 shares @ 7.2¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$221.73
$12.72
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
433 shares @ 52.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$196.94
$-32.03
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3110 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$194.38
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.19May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.10May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.15May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$3.38May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.26May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$0.01May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.02May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.19May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.23May 18, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 143 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".