Spanish-Priority
0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$363.4K
Total PnL
$12.4K
Realised
$342.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
109231 shares @ 89.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.1K
$3.4K
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
82470 shares @ 84.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.5K
$5.6K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
54869 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.2K
$735.08
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
37068 shares @ 86.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.2K
$45.85
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
29499 shares @ 81.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$24.6K
$537.68
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
21598 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.5K
$-6.46
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
20100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.2K
$503.50
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6313 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.1K
$-104.86
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$42.50
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
5000 shares @ 85.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$262.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.8KMay 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.0KMay 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$514.86May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$95.62May 18, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00May 18, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$26.36May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.6KMay 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$8.98May 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$2.6KMay 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$323.15May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$21.21May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$5.99May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$7.99May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.01May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$97.19May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$499.00May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.2KMay 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$106.63May 18, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $218.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".