Unnatural-Evidence
0x4061ae5819cc3a7a49d8b393279e7591fa1ad586
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$153.89
Total PnL
$-4.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
82 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$54.59
$-0.41
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
21 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
22 shares @ 89.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.33
$-0.67
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
14 shares @ 87.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.30
$-0.90
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
7 shares @ 56.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
7 shares @ 69.8¢·now 73.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$0.29
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$5.04May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2.01May 18, 06:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.10May 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.03May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.02May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.04May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$10.03May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.46May 17, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$4.31May 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.26May 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.06May 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.04May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?$10.01May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$20.06May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$7.38May 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.06May 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00May 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00May 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$3.82May 15, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".