0x409367ef0150830a411b4731d8ed8a3324075749
0x409367ef0150830a411b4731d8ed8a3324075749
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$426.59
Realised
$-20.81
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
761 shares @ 80.9¢·now 82.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$628.91
$13.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
3626 shares @ 6.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$628.80
$378.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1096 shares @ 20.9¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$272.45
$43.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?
327 shares @ 67.8¢·now 70.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$230.71
$9.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?
359 shares @ 82.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$220.35
$-75.73
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
196 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.39
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
635 shares @ 6.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$177.44
$134.96
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
527 shares @ 21.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$123.93
$10.98
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1656 shares @ 5.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.51
$8.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4.40May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.78May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$11.74May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?$1.57May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$1.19May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8.85May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.07May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.93May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$14.67May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.94May 18, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5$0.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.47May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.47May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4.42May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.32May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.16May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8.87May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4.92May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.94May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$1.72May 18, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".