Warped-Mansard
0x4098823d549df28b81d5f8cee209e90c5fdf403c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$210.93
Total PnL
$-89.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?
110 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$101.20
$2.20
- YES
Will Bernie say "Healthcare" in Maine?
40 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$37.80
$1.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
50 shares @ 83.7¢·now 72.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$36.38
$-5.47
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.25
$-10.25
- NO
Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$10.80
$-0.12
- YES
Will Bernie say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" in Maine?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.75
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.76
$0.85
- TOMMY PAUL
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul
60 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.40
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
60 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$30.00May 23, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$50.00May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul$38.40May 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$15.32May 23, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$11.68May 23, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?$2.96May 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.16May 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.92May 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie say "ICE" 5+ times in Maine?$2.17May 23, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?$10.92May 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$39.00May 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "ICE" 5+ times in Maine?$2.50May 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$3.81May 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$5.77May 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.78May 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.15May 23, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$2.72May 23, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.91May 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$4.08May 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$27.26May 23, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".