0x41338c4fc9d6e67e7ba85d322bd16191247ae834
0x41338c4fc9d6e67e7ba85d322bd16191247ae834
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$285.07
Total PnL
$3.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
128 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$121.99
$1.34
- NO
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
65 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$44.51
$0.65
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
59 shares @ 70.0¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$38.45
$-3.09
- NO
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
28 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$25.93
$3.15
- NO
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
18 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.37
$2.50
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
23 shares @ 76.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.88
$-1.61
- NO
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
13 shares @ 68.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$11.00
$2.03
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
18 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.55
$0.45
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
19 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.65
$-0.68
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.44
$-0.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.32May 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$16.00May 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$16.95May 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$31.85May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$45.30May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$51.00May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$81.02May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$136.74May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$194.20May 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$319.13May 17, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$252.27May 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$53.56Apr 26, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$246.50Apr 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$246.50Apr 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$246.50Apr 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$246.50Apr 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$211.99Apr 26, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $92.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".