Decent-Bicycle
0x413d67c666e0257061e4f1d5d2113ab50ec10db8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$704.48
Total PnL
$-752.02
Realised
$3.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
140 shares @ 56.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$95.12
$16.10
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
96 shares @ 72.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$72.73
$2.87
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
60 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.07
$1.87
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$32.50
$-5.50
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.25
$0.75
- YES
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
600 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.90
$2.20
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.99
$9.99
- YES
Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?
47 shares @ 89.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$28.28
$-13.75
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.85
$-1.65
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.04
$3.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $666.84May 16, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$25.00May 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5$9.99May 16, 02:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5$4.77May 15, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova$176.92May 15, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?$161.00May 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova$147.59May 15, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?$59.52May 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?$35.52May 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?$59.52May 15, 13:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$302.17May 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$29.37May 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$33.73May 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$232.88May 14, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$295.81May 14, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $103.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".