Reliable-Lap
0x4157f19818da67fdc9c031384ca0332a42265474
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$73.53
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-8.81
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
44 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 24, 2026$43.68
$1.59
- NO
Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$19.90
$0.90
- NO
Will "Amsterdam" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.95
$0.35
- NO
Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
419 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-217.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
270 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?
222 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-193.93
- NO
Will "People" be said 100+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
194 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
156 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$36.67May 19, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$16.67May 19, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$42.17May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$19.04May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$34.94May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Amsterdam" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$9.62May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$15.71May 19, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.49May 9, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.49May 9, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.49May 9, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.49May 9, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.08May 9, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.49May 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.17May 8, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.36May 8, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.35May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$202.46May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.35May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.87May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.35May 8, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $34.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".