Worst-Festival
0x4178e9400ce268f274f75d0dd77bf0cb9d3ddefa
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$145.65
Total PnL
$-822.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5
118 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$79.41
$-0.59
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
552 shares @ 64.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.24
$-290.92
- NO
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?
278 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-190.51
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
227 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-147.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?
167 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-122.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?
67 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?
66 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5$80.77May 19, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5$131.83May 19, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5$41.91May 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5$99.61May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5$30.06May 18, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$129.63May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?$104.41May 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score$104.54May 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?$17.20May 17, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?$70.69May 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score$45.77May 17, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$102.45May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$45.76May 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$70.97May 16, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$147.79May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$98.53May 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$104.01May 14, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5$202.68May 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5$43.55May 14, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$43.48May 13, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $57.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".