Entire-Frame
0x417b75f912bb43f7da0fd43a83a5cf486e5218d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-217.58
Realised
$-179.85
Win rate
46%
119 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
691 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$659.59
$21.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
532 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$525.74
$7.03
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
298 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$294.88
$2.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
251 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$232.18
$0.53
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
220 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$219.52
$0.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
202 shares @ 82.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.43
$10.07
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
523 shares @ 47.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$157.00
$-93.67
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
160 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.82
$1.84
- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
140 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$140.37
$0.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
140 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$133.91
$3.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$36.41May 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.13May 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$36.34May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$11.44May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.83May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.48May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.04May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.60May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.66May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.50May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.51May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.84May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.32May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.17May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.44May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$5.28May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.32May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.83May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.45May 18, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 119 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".