Muted-Boatyard
0x419f32f30814030554f5df3e9f508ad7394ce853
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.28
Total PnL
$-758.33
Realised
$39.76
Win rate
58%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
436 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.14
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
406 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.86
$-2.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?
314 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.41
$-1.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
690 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.03
$-3.13
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
5517 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
4113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
3775 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.65
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3704 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 19?$0.18May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.12May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$1.60May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$2.23May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$1.87May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 19?$0.06May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 19?$0.15May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 19?$0.09May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$2.02May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.08May 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.08May 18, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".