Optimistic-Chocolate
0x41a3f14737b0a916d0c340993e536a22563b46b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$938.38
Total PnL
$-97.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
388 shares @ 75.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$269.48
$-21.82
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
315 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$204.43
$6.29
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
313 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$126.84
$-7.83
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
532 shares @ 23.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$119.67
$-5.85
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 20.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.59
$-3.79
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
312 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$79.68
$-4.69
- YES
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
452 shares @ 14.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.68
$-26.39
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
356 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$293.47May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$25.90May 18, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.36May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$7.05May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.13May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$53.12May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.49May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.30May 16, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.30May 16, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$84.02May 16, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$749.96May 16, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.28May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$27.77May 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$29.20May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$103.00May 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$723.42May 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.58May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$259.06May 12, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$229.34May 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.09May 12, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $113.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".