Expensive-Neurobiologist
0x41c9ebabadd00795d5165c258cf814cb7048b284
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$96.94
Total PnL
$-76.85
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
551 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.82
$-30.28
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
120 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$-6.60
- YES
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
21 shares @ 57.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$6.23
$-5.76
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
34 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$2.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
40 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.20
$-3.40
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
6 shares @ 17.2¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.82
$-0.21
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 40.9¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$2.80May 5, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$9.99May 5, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 25, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 25, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$1.00Apr 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.68Apr 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?$1.03Apr 20, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 19)$1.12Apr 20, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)$0.56Apr 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hezbollah" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ass" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$16.80Apr 12, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".