Impossible-Reject
0x420e8deb590ad77ff5b2f6776cea2b1fc6dee3c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$17.2K
Total PnL
$582.97
Realised
$68.72
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$25.00
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
2554 shares @ 57.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1139 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.1K
$93.71
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 63.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$140.40
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1869 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-10.22
- YES
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
1141 shares @ 50.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$833.25
$261.44
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
750 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$743.62
$10.12
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
993 shares @ 29.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$571.24
$283.43
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
500 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$495.74
$7.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
600 shares @ 72.6¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$444.10
$8.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$17.80May 18, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$415.76May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.4KMay 18, 06:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.36May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$16.66May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$203.33May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.67May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$244.50May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$162.66May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$81.33May 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$155.59May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$88.91May 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$195.60May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$293.66May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$126.34May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.93May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$32.73May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$166.50May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32.36May 17, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $323.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".