Full-Flatboat
0x427645f9a7dc060aca702a9afab8eacbb44984e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$562.17
Total PnL
$-127.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 60.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$70.50
$20.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
99 shares @ 50.4¢·now 70.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.55
$19.55
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
75 shares @ 66.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.06
$15.06
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.33
$0.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$50.00
$18.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.08
$14.08
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.64
$12.64
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?
100 shares @ 49.9¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$-12.94
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
500 shares @ 18.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-57.74
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.03
$-5.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?$59.06May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026?$59.52May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?$61.73May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?$110.69May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?$119.05May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?$119.31May 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?$20.00Apr 18, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$0.00Apr 10, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$24.73Apr 7, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$10.00Apr 7, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.00Apr 6, 20:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.00Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $59.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".