Half-Grandmother
0x4394283ce5cb7025c85e5483b0ce515810103055
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
191
Open notional
$58.28
Total PnL
$-744.87
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.13
$-6.88
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.32
$3.32
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?
57 shares @ 17.7¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$8.62
$-1.38
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.87
$3.87
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
19 shares @ 53.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$-2.42
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 23.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.77May 10, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?$2.42Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?$3.43Apr 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Apr 24, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.10Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00Apr 23, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.00Apr 23, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.45Apr 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.30Apr 23, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.00Apr 23, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".