0x43cded640df26a97a71eb4778affdfabb299fdd3
0x43cded640df26a97a71eb4778affdfabb299fdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$24.00
Total PnL
$9.00
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.95
$2.88
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.11
$2.05
- NO
Will Brad T. Peters win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.08
$1.04
- NO
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.77
$0.88
- NO
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.81
- NO
Will the Reform Party (RP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.49
$0.74
- NO
Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.43
$0.71
- NO
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.30
$0.60
- NO
Will Josh Jung lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.21
$0.60
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.21
$0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Abdoulaye Toure be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$1.08May 18, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Carvalho score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?$2.24May 17, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$0.00May 16, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.26May 16, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.64May 16, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.99May 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Frost be the Republican nominee for OH-09?$1.32May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.36May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match end in a draw?$0.00May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$1.50May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$1.50May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match end in a draw?$1.50May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$0.00May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Welsh Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$2.15May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?$3.00May 13, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be between 95 and 100?$3.49May 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 17 be between 95 and 100?$0.00May 5, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?$0.00May 4, 22:57 UTC
- SPLITWill the match end in a draw?$1.50May 4, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$1.60May 4, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".