Flaky-Chivalry
0x43d35a30af816b0c357ef790c6845081efaaae2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$112.49
Total PnL
$-56.31
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.24
$0.94
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
21 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
16 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.69
$0.76
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 82.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.39
$-2.12
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$0.04
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$4.14
$0.14
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
49 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$4.60May 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$4.02May 4, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$15.00May 4, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$20.03May 4, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.03May 4, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.17May 4, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$10.15May 4, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.15May 4, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.98May 4, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$18.21May 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?$5.80Apr 21, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$13.21Apr 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?$5.74Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$5.16Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$10.58Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$32.40Apr 3, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Apr 3, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".