Bouncy-Townhouse
0x440617a120d9229544c1bb768da04c96fff75eaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-357.51
Realised
$-63.60
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
327 shares @ 87.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$325.86
$39.73
- YES
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
272 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$272.00
$32.64
- NO
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
181 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$59.73
- NO
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
136 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$135.84
$6.52
- NO
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
67 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$67.00
$8.71
- NO
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
61 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$61.00
$15.25
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
343 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.59
$-18.86
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
78 shares @ 88.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$14.04
$-54.60
- NO
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.50
$2.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$43.52Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$30.48Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$58.50Feb 8, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$301.76Feb 8, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$21.12Feb 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$34.32Feb 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$37.84Feb 8, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$46.64Feb 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$54.56Feb 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$130.24Feb 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$154.00Feb 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$40.60Jan 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$43.31Jan 11, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.10Jan 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$547.36Jan 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$256.62Jan 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$137.28Jan 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$398.95Jan 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$282.88Jan 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$595.84Jan 11, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $132.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".