Flawless-Fool
0x444cc4040268cdd802ff7120fd4ba8f73b7ed440
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-417.12
Realised
$368.03
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$813.50
$313.50
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$186.50
$-313.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.96
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 104-105°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.93
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.89
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.89
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.88
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 21?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.88
$0.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on May 21?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.87
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.87
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 21?$13.91May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 21?$2.49May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 21?$19.24May 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?$9.89May 20, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on May 21?$19.62May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 21?$19.74May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 21?$19.81May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 21?$19.81May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 21?$19.81May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 21?$5.88May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on May 21?$19.24May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 21?$9.79May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 21?$5.87May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 104-105°F on May 21?$19.79May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on May 21?$5.93May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on May 20?$4.95May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 20?$10.37May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 21?$19.81May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 21?$4.95May 19, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $14.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".