Velvety-Guitarist-Omission
0x448dfc6ecfb724691cc60ac2ed9f282bb4883ade
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$205.53
Realised
$3.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4014 shares @ 51.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.0K
$937.94
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
4411 shares @ 53.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.5K
$167.73
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?
744 shares @ 50.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$405.65
$26.88
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
418 shares @ 69.7¢·now 78.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$326.14
$35.20
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
200 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.10
$3.70
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
122 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$119.59
$-0.97
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
120 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$118.69
$2.46
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 33.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.99
$-970.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.6KMay 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.7KMay 21, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$826.75May 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$185.30May 21, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$20.06May 21, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?$134.72May 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$1000.00May 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$41.30May 21, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$55.92May 21, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?$213.57May 21, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?$2.0KMay 21, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$23.48May 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$144.69May 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?$22.30May 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$6.66May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$3.67May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$6.66May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?$8.32May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$20.00May 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$22.00May 21, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $320.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".