Sociable-Rooster
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$816.3K
Total PnL
$-111.7K
Realised
$-58.3K
Win rate
74%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
500000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$499.8K
$250.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
193663 shares @ 69.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.6K
$-763.81
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
89227 shares @ 82.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.3K
$2.7K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
24599 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
12232 shares @ 20.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.1K
$9.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
142248 shares @ 25.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.7K
$-25.3K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
44286 shares @ 23.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$-525.50
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
16020 shares @ 55.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.7K
$734.24
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
14049 shares @ 55.9¢·now 60.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.5K
$653.44
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
8318 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$956.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$19.30May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?$8.56May 18, 01:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.07May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$50.48May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.32May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9.91May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.01May 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.36May 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$241.77May 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.29May 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$11.44May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$280.00May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.5KMay 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$205.69May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.9KMay 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$631.49May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.4KMay 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$28.73May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$15.91May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.90May 17, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".