Fearful-Socialist
0x4526ab9f8b42770c647ba8ba8a3c5ca125462d4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$91.00
Total PnL
$-164.49
Realised
$29.95
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.14
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.00
$5.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
16 shares @ 9.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.36
$3.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.00
$4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.00
$4.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 60.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.00
$1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?
14 shares @ 9.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.83
$3.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?
13 shares @ 9.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.23
$2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?
12 shares @ 9.1¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.00
$1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 23?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.84
$0.85
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?$5.00May 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?$4.97May 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 22?$4.90May 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?$1.50May 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?$4.31May 22, 01:43 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 22?$1.00May 22, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?$6.12May 22, 01:43 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?$5.00May 22, 01:31 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 22?$5.00May 22, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 22?$5.77May 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 22?$4.43May 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 22?$3.43May 22, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 22?$4.90May 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?$1.50May 22, 01:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 23?$8.00May 22, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?$5.37May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?$7.98May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?$6.62May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$7.54May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?$7.84May 22, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".