0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$106.76
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.51
$0.51
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.81
$3.81
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.04
$-0.43
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$50.00Mar 27, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$20.00Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?$14.47Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$20.00Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $19.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".