All-Discipline
0x459f8ecfc0f127ddc17b3ef31676df52d7d2d658
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$61.97
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.93
$0.17
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.89
$0.22
- NO
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.63
$0.02
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$0.04
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.45
$-0.20
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.18
$0.09
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.15
$0.04
- NO
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.15
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 17, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$1.43May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of April?$1.01May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$1.74May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.89May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$2.40May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$2.53May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$2.61May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.88May 17, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of April?$1.00Apr 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.00Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 18?$1.05Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.86Apr 18, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 18?$1.00Apr 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Apr 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$1.58Apr 12, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March?$1.00Apr 12, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Pistol" be said 20+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.09Apr 12, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on April 8?$2.06Apr 12, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".