Helpful-Adoption
0x45b2cb2ae97f7dd81aa20058337a7a8b29b4cbc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$6.7K
Realised
$399.17
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
1578 shares @ 19.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$986.09
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1308 shares @ 16.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.2K
$1.0K
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
1764 shares @ 17.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$749.70
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
935 shares @ 16.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$932.37
$782.82
- YES
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
1998 shares @ 15.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$869.13
$569.43
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
842 shares @ 19.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$778.85
$618.87
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
846 shares @ 26.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$621.81
$401.85
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
497 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$497.01
$442.34
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$485.10
$385.14
- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
466 shares @ 19.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$466.03
$377.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacto Histórico win 21-23 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 3?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 2?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sepp Straka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $29.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".