Lost-Macadamia
0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$365.0K
Total PnL
$29.3K
Realised
$27.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
203897 shares @ 79.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.4K
$16.3K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
76588 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.5K
$268.06
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
67650 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.7K
$2.3K
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
20000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.8K
$250.00
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
13175 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.9K
$747.47
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
3797 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.8K
$75.35
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3452 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$129.53
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2985 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$108.94
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2950 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$85.55
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1767 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$69.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$7.81May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$5.45May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.04May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$7.81May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$10.21May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$76.04May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$7.80May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$5.34May 16, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$7.79May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.03May 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$7.77May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$146.6KMay 14, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$4.51May 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$66.3KMay 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.4KMay 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$82.52May 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.3KMay 13, 11:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.96May 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$7.78May 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.66May 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $519.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".