Crooked-Tabernacle
0x45bc74efa620b45c02308acaecdff1f7c06f978b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$99.2K
Total PnL
$-178.3K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
66%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
60000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$60.0K
$30.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.9K
$9.8K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$-27.77
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
4010 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.9K
$38.59
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
3785 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.7K
$113.38
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2500 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$54.78
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$-7.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-10.00
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$150.00
$-9.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
47366 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.3K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.25May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.33May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.38May 18, 10:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.33May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.44May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$153.21May 17, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.34May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.29May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.11May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.38May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.37May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.49May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.03May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$100.67May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$7.64May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$81.97May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.85May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$9.5KMay 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$5.3KMay 17, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".