Grizzled-Pain
0x45cc81a74696b0d7d5aa6bf350846b9aa55c4b16
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$5.54
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.04
$-0.00
- NO
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
10605 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.61
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will PF win the second most seats in the Norway election?
2370 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.00May 23, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.04May 21, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$1.00May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1.16May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 April 13-19?$1.50May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.53May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$2.00May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sign an executive order today?$2.00May 19, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.03May 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$2.00Apr 30, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Apr 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.52Apr 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign an executive order today?$2.00Apr 26, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$1.00Apr 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1.09Apr 23, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$2.10Apr 19, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$11.13Apr 19, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".