Vibrant-Motorcycle
0x45fb42d054b70e524f9368b5f76ccd8fef0bf1f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$-113.18
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8356 shares @ 36.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.4K
$306.24
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
26479 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.5K
$-29.31
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4377 shares @ 27.2¢·now 30.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.3K
$128.76
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
17719 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$602.45
$-168.67
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
478 shares @ 86.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$471.76
$59.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
509 shares @ 84.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$389.13
$-41.77
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
13511 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$87.82
$17.71
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
122 shares @ 78.9¢·now 68.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$83.88
$-12.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
81 shares @ 52.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$71.28
$28.68
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 56.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$68.38
$13.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$2.7KMay 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$1.7KMay 18, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$431.03May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$25.72May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?$30.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$85.75May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$12.04May 18, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.49May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$20.52May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$20.10May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.02May 18, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$44.01May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$11.03May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$11.02May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.01May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$11.02May 18, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$46.21May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$11.01May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$11.01May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$11.02May 18, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".