Dual-Cephalopod
0x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$19.4K
Total PnL
$2.8K
Realised
$153.09
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3163 shares @ 54.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.7K
$939.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
2794 shares @ 53.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.4K
$920.30
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
3675 shares @ 39.1¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.8K
$362.13
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3558 shares @ 22.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.5K
$735.88
- NO
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
5345 shares @ 27.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$5.13
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1381 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$59.63
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5338 shares @ 14.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.3K
$496.59
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1775 shares @ 22.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.0K
$642.52
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
967 shares @ 54.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$817.12
$293.76
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
3135 shares @ 52.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$799.42
$-851.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.06May 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.64May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.12May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$3.17May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$2.22May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.39May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$4.79May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$20.55May 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$2.16May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.50May 18, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$4.25May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$5.19May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$8.00May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.00May 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$18.44May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$492.19May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$8.10May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.40May 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$2.02May 17, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".