Superior-Haversack
0x46ee2dcff4543e808d5ef1030348bec4ea84eb1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$382.97
Win rate
64%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8000 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$908.00
$16.01
- YES
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
5806 shares @ 14.8¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$574.84
$-285.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1000 shares @ 38.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$340.00
$-44.99
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1000 shares @ 41.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$335.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
12000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$294.00
$78.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$290.00
$-21.98
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$290.00
$10.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4000 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.60
$-6.40
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$271.49
$-66.92
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$262.50
$-37.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.08May 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.27May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.27May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.14May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$280.00May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$25.75May 18, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$13.37May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$29.16May 18, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.15May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$17.76May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.00May 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$11.36May 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.01May 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$66.46May 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.01May 17, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$2.98May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.48May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$0.52May 16, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $16.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".