Crisp-Affiliate
0x46fa15a28f4202182b0153354bc09b94e6dc9a8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$23.62
Total PnL
$-86.69
Realised
$26.70
Win rate
27%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
100 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.55
$-1.20
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
55 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$1.29
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
128 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-0.71
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
167 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-9.04
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
50 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.35
- YES
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
48 shares @ 7.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.58
$-2.10
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
935 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-0.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
26 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.22
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
261 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$-11.72
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
400 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.30Apr 13, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$3.32Apr 5, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$12.32Apr 5, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$1.11Dec 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$1.64Dec 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$2.06Dec 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.08Dec 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$1.87Dec 17, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$8.00Dec 17, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$8.00Dec 17, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.20Dec 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $5B one day after launch?$6.15Dec 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.20Dec 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $5B one day after launch?$6.15Dec 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.64Dec 17, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.85Dec 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.85Dec 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.64Dec 17, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$7.75Dec 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$7.88Dec 17, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 21:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".