Novel-Chitchat
0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$24.5K
Total PnL
$486.50
Realised
$142.37
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.8K
$45.03
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
3138 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.1K
$23.01
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
2000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.0K
$15.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.0K
$35.01
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1802 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.8K
$8.11
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
1564 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.5K
$86.24
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1175 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.1K
$42.70
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
1005 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$4.17
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.02
$55.00
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$456.25
$11.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.8KMay 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$988.47May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$5.89May 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$104.92May 17, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$802.17May 17, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.00May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.26May 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$247.00May 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.96May 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.02May 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$495.72May 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$999.05May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$41.32May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$4.98May 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$698.95May 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$649.88May 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $574.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".