Candid-Mixture
0x478e2d8b81bfe76395d2fb073f945032ae42a576
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
140
Open notional
$58.35
Total PnL
$-731.78
Realised
$2.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
73 shares @ 21.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$26.50
$11.15
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
19 shares @ 28.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.61
$10.18
- NO
Will Trump nationalize elections?
11 shares @ 59.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.60
$3.18
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?
10 shares @ 90.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.13
$-3.87
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
419 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.21
$-55.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 16?
451 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?
377 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 16?
358 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 17?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 17?$5.00May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 17?$5.74May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?$14.00May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 17?$6.00May 17, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 17?$5.74May 17, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?$18.65May 17, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?$7.81May 17, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?$6.02May 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?$6.17May 17, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 17?$6.41May 17, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$6.32May 17, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 17?$5.88May 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?$7.81May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?$6.17May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?$7.56May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 17?$5.88May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?$7.56May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$6.25May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$8.47May 17, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?$6.49May 17, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".