0x47d96ef902d8b202f8499ee084c20016713524d0
0x47d96ef902d8b202f8499ee084c20016713524d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$19.63
Total PnL
$-14.22
Realised
$0.17
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.29
$0.29
- YES
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.99
$-0.02
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 64.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.16
$0.15
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.01May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$2.01May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.01May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.02May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.01May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.03May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$2.02May 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.04May 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$1.03May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.60May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.80May 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.48May 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.09May 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.79May 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$2.01May 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.06May 15, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.40May 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.17May 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.24May 15, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".