0x485050efbc3f457efcd4ee262017948e6f2eab3b
0x485050efbc3f457efcd4ee262017948e6f2eab3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.58
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-5.38
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$3.58
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 5?
1853 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
535 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-236.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
338 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- UNDER
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ismaily SC end in a draw?
146 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
139 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
128 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.66
- MAPLE LEAFS
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 18?
89 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-71.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.05May 16, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$0.06May 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.06May 1, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in April?$0.08May 1, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$0.10May 1, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$0.05May 1, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$0.07May 1, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.07May 1, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$0.05Apr 28, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 27, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 4?$0.00Apr 27, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.02Apr 27, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?$0.03Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.04Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?$0.07Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?$0.07Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.08Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$0.09Apr 25, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".