Essential-Interchange
0x497b4c6496845dc10e1fa57aeae2bd0c9980717e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-39.30
Realised
$82.13
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
4000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$860.00
$60.00
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
738 shares @ 37.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$505.48
$229.89
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
1096 shares @ 36.5¢·now 23.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$262.39
$-137.61
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
1305 shares @ 32.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.24
$-253.34
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
77 shares @ 52.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.24
$14.24
- UP
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$32.64
$2.64
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
89 shares @ 38.6¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.72
$-6.78
- NO
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.01
$-4.99
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
615 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.30
$-9.70
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
884 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$-15.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$400.00May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$133.15May 7, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$50.00May 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$800.00May 2, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?$0.00Apr 24, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$0.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$32.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?$100.00Apr 16, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$100.00Apr 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$500.00Apr 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$20.00Apr 14, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?$187.02Apr 14, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?$0.00Apr 13, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$0.00Apr 13, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$544.40Apr 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?$100.00Apr 9, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?$90.00Apr 9, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?$100.00Apr 9, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $371.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".