Itchy-Cradle
0x49ae18c82dab9fd3a2bb84d0a96c3ded503ff3ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$27.6K
Total PnL
$330.20
Realised
$20.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
21234 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.9K
$254.51
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5372 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.3K
$51.60
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1437 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$4.55
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
179 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.80
$-1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$858.85May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$419.23May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$65.22May 18, 07:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$19.93May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$122.24May 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$204.17May 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$5.00May 17, 14:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$3.00May 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$19.54May 16, 19:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 15, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$55.19May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$23.73May 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$18.90May 15, 14:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.55May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$385.33May 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$511.82May 14, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $287.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".