Spirited-Initialise
0x49c5fa54f0fa1b2c194b13b63f0371dc0b50b169
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$886.26
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$17.24
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
242 shares @ 84.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$189.88
$-14.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
203 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.72
$-15.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
75 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$70.46
$0.71
- YES
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?
72 shares @ 92.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$70.26
$3.24
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.71
$26.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 15.8¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.39
$4.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.83
$-1.06
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
232 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.31
$0.81
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.43
$0.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
286 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.57
$3.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$13.33May 17, 16:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.02May 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.09May 15, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?$15.50May 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5$6.12May 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5$5.63May 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5$3.22May 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release a surprise album?$1.00May 15, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$84.95May 15, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?$0.29May 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?$0.71May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.25May 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$0.97May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$3.45May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$4.51May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$2.30May 14, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".